Tonight’s Bezos Bowl matchup will feature the hottest team in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles. The Jalen Hurts-led Eagles will take on the Houston Texans tonight at 8:15 EST. The Eagles busted out of the gates this season in epic fashion, the off-season addition of star pass catcher A.J. Brown has opened up this offense for the break-out star under center, Jalen Hurts. Last week A.J. Brown lit up the opposing defense for three receiving scores. On the other hand, the Houston Texans are on the opposite end of the spectrum and are still very much in the rebuild process. Despite the organizational disarray, they have had some shining moments from former Florida Gator running back, Dameon Pierce. Since this will be a risk free parlay, we will play it safe in regards to alternate totals but the data I will break down will focus on their actual line totals. Keep that in mind for the last leg of the parlay.
Dameon Pierce Under 64.5 Rushing Yards
Fanduel’s rushing total for Pierce sits at 64.5 and typically I would snag that up right away as Pierce as eclipsed that total in over 70% of his games played this season. Since he is a rookie, clearly the sample size is quite small but in his last five games, he is averaging 87.5 yards per game in that stretch and on the season, he is averaging 77 yards per contest. Despite those statistics, I will be taking the under for Pierce’s rushing total in this game because the Eagles might be the hottest offense in the league currently. The Eagles are two-score favorites as of now and it is not likely the Texans will be pounding the rock if they find themselves down early.
Miles Sanders Anytime TD Scorer +100
This season, Miles Sanders has found the end zone in 57% of games played. Sanders this season is averaging 80.4 yards per game, tonight his rushing total sits at 77.5 yards. With the Eagles being heavy favorites against the Texans, I expect them to rush the ball more than they have so far this season. Sanders has scored in four games this season including a multi-TD performance in a game they had a solid lead in.
Dallas Goedert over 40+ Yards Receiving -154
Now this is a play that seems a little trappy given that Goedert is averaging 58 yards per game and tonight’s total sits at a mere 47 yards. In Dallas’ last ten contests, he is averaging over 60 yards receiving and is averaging over 55 yards in his last five games played. The hit rate for tonight’s line throughout his career is an impressive 61% but I am going to play it safe with the alternate total given the likelihood the Eagles take an early lead against the lackluster Texans pass defense which ranks 15th in the league. Former SEC stars, A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith should draw most of the pass defense attention in coverage putting Goedert in a great place to surpass 40 yards receiving. The Texans are banged up on defense with multiple defensive players not practicing this week in addition to some limited participants.