This weeks Amazon Thursday Night Football matchup will be between two underperforming, injury-riddled teams. The Colts are aiming to get back on track after their abysmal 1-2-1 start and the Nathaniel Hackett led Broncos are looking to get above the .500 mark this evening after an underwhelming start to the season. Many analysts believed both these teams could be dark-horse SuperBowl contenders after their off-season veteran Quarterback pickups. However, we just have not seen much of that for either team thus far, excluding the shocking 20-17 Colts win over the Chiefs back in Week 3. Both teams will be without both of their starting backs as both Javonte Williams and Jonathan Taylor are OUT for tonight’s game. It should be interesting to see how these offenses will adapt to this. Melvin Gordon will lean into the majority of the carries and we might even see some action from former Vikings and Saints RB, Latavius Murray who was signed earlier this week off of the Saint’s practice squad. For the Colts, dependable backup Nyheim Hines will carry the load for the Colts in superstar Jonathan Taylor’s absence. Hines is a more than serviceable running back who has seen his fair share of action throughout his five year career. Through five seasons, Hines averages over four yards a carry with nine total touchdowns on the ground, in addition to seven scores through the air. Checkout my Risk-Free FanDuel SGP longshot lotto play for tonight’s TNF matchup promotion.
The first leg will be somewhat shocking to some readers, but I will breakdown why we are backing the aging Ryan tonight. Last season Matt Ryan passed for over 230.5 yards 64% of the time. This season Matt Ryan has passed for over 230 yards in 50% of his games through four weeks. Tonight they will be without Taylor and will have to rely on Matt Ryan’s arm to come out of Mile High with a victory.
Indianapolis Colts Prop Legs:
Matt Ryan Alt Passing Yards: 225+ (-130)
Alec Pierce has thirteen total targets with six receptions this season and has eclipsed twenty plus yards receiving in two of his last three games despite not recording a reception in week one.
Alec Pierce Alt Receiving Yards: 20 + (-220)
Michael Pittman has been the go-to receiver for Matt Ryan this year, leading the team in total receptions as well as yardage. Pittman has twenty receptions for a total of 224 yards this season through three games. The total yards is set at 65.5 yards which Pittman has gone over this mark 67% of the time this year. Last year Pittman surpassed that yardage only 35% of the time. With Pittman as the number one option this year through the air, I expect him to play an integral part in the offense tonight.
Michael Pittman Alt Receiving Yards: 50 + (-215)
Denver Broncos Prop Legs:
Jerry Jeudy has not yet lived up to the hype he had coming out of the coveted Alabama program after an ACL injury and bad quarterback play during his time in Denver. This year he is healthy and has a new QB in Russell Wilson who should be able to take Jeudy’s game to where the Broncos believed possible when they drafted him in the First Round. Jeudy’s receiving yard total is set at 52.5 yards. Jerry Jeudy has gone over this mark in 50% of the games he played last season. This year, Jeudy has gone over that total in 50% of his games played.
Jerry Jeudy Alt Receiving Yards: 40 + (-225)
Russell Wilson has not yet justified on the field whether or not he made the right decision in leaving the Seattle Seahawks in favor of the Denver Broncos. Wilson is once again back on Primetime and will have another opportunity to show Denver what he is capable of. Russell Wilson’s passing yardage total is set at 235.5 yards which he has surpassed 50% of the time this season and 52% of the time last season in the Seahawks offense. With Javonte Williams out and Murray still learning the offense, I like Russell to pass for over 225 + yards tonight.
Russell Wilson Alt Passing Yards: 225 + (-128)
Former Wisconsin Badger and San Diego Charger, Melvin Gordon will carry a majority of the workload tonight with the ACL injury Javonte Williams suffered last week. Last year Gordon surpassed tonight’s rushing total of 58.5 yards, 52% of the time. This year he has not gone over that mark one single time. Going to play it safe and hope Murray stays off the field.
Melvin Gordon Alt Rushing Yards 40 + (-330)
The last leg of the parlay will rely on Russell Wilson’s number one target thus far this season. Cortland Sutton leads the team in yardage, receptions and targets so far this season. Sutton’s size makes him a threat for opposing defenses. I expect Sutton to be the go-to guy tonight since Russell Wilson has only targeted his tight ends seventeen times this season.
Cortland Sutton Alt Receiving Yards 50 + (-230)